Gloomy projection for ad growth

Revising its December estimate regarding advertising growth in 2008 in the world’s largest markets — North America and western Europe — ZenithOptimedia is now forecasting an upward spike of only 3.8%. It had originally pegged growth at 4.1%

Released yesterday, ZO’s analysis attributes the pessimistic revision to current economic uncertainty due particularly to the mounting credit crunch sparked by the sub-prime mortgage crisis in the U.S.

Elsewhere in the world, however, the agency’s report sounds a more positive note, predicting ad growth of 11.1%, rather than its earlier estimate of 10.9%.

ZO continues to be bullish about the viability of online properties. ‘Once again, we have substantially increased our forecasts for Internet advertising as it has continued to exceed our expectations,’ states the new report. It estimates that the Internet will account for nearly 10% of the global advertising marketplace in 2008 — to some degree at the expense of some traditional media, especially newspapers’ print editions.

In this context, the report states that: ‘Online video and local search are now generating substantial new revenues. In the slightly longer term, we expect behavioral targeting on social networking sites to provide fruitful new opportunities to advertisers.’

From Media in Canada